Speaker unverified: uncertainty

Transcript context

…Are you convinced that the relative success of Botswana will endure? Their current politics seems much more personalized, much more corrupt. With artificial diamonds, the value of their most important resource is headed to some very low sum. Won’t they just revert to mean, and it won’t have been an enduring success? What one can say is that Botswana became independent in 1966. It’s now 60 years later. Botswana, when it became independent, was the poorest country in Africa. Now, Botswana, for most of these 60 years, has been either the richest or the second-richest country in Africa. For 60 years, they’ve got a great track record. What will happen in the next 60 years, I don’t know. It’s only, I think, two million people or so. I’m not sure of the number, and one resource. You divide up the value of the resource, and they do well. The value of the resource goes away, and they’re like Namibia, no?…

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