Evidence receipt / prediction
Published · transcript-backedNathan Labenz: prediction
21 Jun 2026 The Cognitive Revolution AI:AM #3: Zvi on Fable, the Cases For & Against the Ban, + AI for Math, Logistics & More
“a war with the United States, and the United States not getting what it wants and kind of having to recognize that, like, yeah, we kind of have to fold this hand because we just actually don't really have escalation dominance in the way we might have thought we did.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Nathan Labenz
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- prediction
- Recorded
- 21 Jun 2026
- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution
Transcript context
…Yeah ... a war with the United States, and the United States not getting what it wants and kind of having to recognize that, like, yeah, we kind of have to fold this hand because we just actually don't really have escalation dominance in the way we might have thought we did. I do wonder if all that starts to happen, is there a run on the US government of some sort, right? I mean, we, we ... The ... I think the Balaji answer would be, like, the whole infrastructure, the whole apparatus that you're describing, like, actually might be a lot more fragile than it is generally perceived to be. And if they make such a own goal as to attempt to destroy and sufficiently alienate, you know, their literally maybe number one most important company for no reason really, then you know, maybe other people will kind of- I mean-…
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