Evidence receipt / uncertainty
Published · transcript-backedPaul Christiano: uncertainty
31 Oct 2023 Dwarkesh Podcast Paul Christiano — Preventing an AI takeover
“Yeah, I mean, like, for example, if you imagine what the best thing is, it would almost certainly involve just like simulating every possible universe. It might be in modular moral constraints, which I don’t know if you want to include like so that would be very slow.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Paul Christiano
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- uncertainty
- Recorded
- 31 Oct 2023
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
Transcript context
…Yeah. Because of comms or other things or heat. It just might be physically impossible to instagram something smarter than this. Yeah, I mean, like, for example, if you imagine what the best thing is, it would almost certainly involve just like simulating every possible universe. It might be in modular moral constraints, which I don’t know if you want to include like so that would be very slow. It would involve simulating like, I don’t know exactly how slow, but like double exponential very slow. Carl Schulman laid out his picture of the intelligence explosion in the seven hour episode. I know you guys have talked a lot. What about his basic is? Do you have some main disagreements? Is there some crux that you guys have explored?…
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