Marc Andreessen: prediction

Transcript context

…What’s the biggest adjustment problem governments will face as AI progresses? For instance, if drug discovery goes up by 3X, all of a sudden, the FDA is overloaded. If regulatory comments are open, AI can write great regulatory comments. What does government have to do to get by in this new world? By the way, hopefully, at least the first of those two scenarios happens, maybe also the second. For anything like this, what there should be is there should be a corresponding phenomenon happening on the other side, right? The government correspondingly then should be using AI to evaluate new drugs. Company shows up in their drug design. There should be AI Assist to the FDA to help them evaluate new drugs. A regulatory agency that has public comments should have AI Assist for being able to be able to process all that information and be able to aggregate it and then be able to reply back to everybody. This is kind of true. This is a very interesting thing about AI. Every possible threat you can think of AI posing, basically, there is a corresponding defense that has to get built. I’ll pick another one. Cybersecurity people are quite, I think, legitimately concerned that AI’s going to make it easier to actually create and launch cybersecurity attacks. Correspondingly, there should be better defenses. There should be AI-based cybersecurity defenses. By the way, we see the exact same thing with drones. Weaponized AI autonomous drones are clearly a threat, as we see in the world today, so we need AI defenses against drones. The cynical view would be this is just a classic arms race — attack, defense, attack, defense — and does the world get any better if there’s just more threats and more defenses? I think the positive way of looking at it is, we probably need these defenses anyway, right? Even if we didn’t have AI drug discovery, I think we should be using AI to evaluate drugs. Even if we didn’t have AI drones, we should still have defense against standard missiles and against enemy aircraft. Even if we didn’t have AI-driven cyberattacks, we should have AI-driven cyber defenses. I think this is an opportunity for the defenders to not only keep up but also build better systems for the present-day threat landscape also. The Biden AI directive, what’s the best thing about it? What’s the worst thing about it?…

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