Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedPhilip E. Tetlock: belief
22 Apr 2020 Conversations with Tyler Philip E. Tetlock on Forecasting and Foraging as a Fox
“I think I was pretty good at anticipating the fragility of a lot of microsocial science knowledge prior to the replication crisis erupting.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Philip E. Tetlock
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 22 Apr 2020
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
Transcript context
…Let’s try a question from the realm of the everyday and the mundane. If I go around, and I look at Mexican restaurants, I’m very good at predicting which ones have excellent tacos. What are you good at predicting? I’m not good at predicting your questions. [laughter] What am I good at predicting? I think I was pretty good at anticipating the fragility of a lot of microsocial science knowledge prior to the replication crisis erupting. No, I mean everyday life.…
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