Many fast AI timelines and predictions are incorrect, often driven by fundraising or attention-seeking incentives rather than grounded reality.
I'm only sounding pessimistic because when I go on my Twitter timeline, I see all this stuff that makes no sense to me. There's a lot of reasons for why that exists. A lot of it is honestly just fundraising. It's just incentive structures. A lot of it may be fundraising. A lot of it is just attention, converting attention to money on the internet, stuff like that.