Steve Davies: prediction

Transcript context

…Why is it there’s a movement…it has different names. Some people call it populism. I’m not sure that’s the right word because it’s not always that popular. In England, we’ve had it. In parts of the United States…you don’t really have it much at all in Ireland. You don’t have it much at all in Spain. It’s growing in France, especially with young people. We’ll see how strong it is. It was strong in the Netherlands but it failed, though, because the more centrist parties moved sharply to the right. Two interrelated questions. Why have left wing parties in so many countries become so weak? Labor in England is just a joke. It’s not even a joke. It’s one reason why Theresa May can call another election. Social democratic parties across the continent are looking extremely weak, pretty consistently. In some, but not all, other countries there are these rising populist or alt‑right movements. What’s your take on the broader developments that are driving this new and actually pretty startling configuration of loyalties? How do you see that? The thing is, this is the predominant trend. The thing you described is a predominant trend throughout most of Europe and, I think, many other parts of the world. Some parts are immune, too. We want to explain the cross‑section variation.…

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