Evidence receipt / prediction
Published · transcript-backedAndrew Lee: prediction
15 May 2026 The Cognitive Revolution Three Kinds of Software Survive: Tasklet's Andrew Lee on Competing to be a Horizontal Platform
“You saw the progress Codex made over six months, and if they put that level of effort into tuning the models around these types of agenda use cases, I think that'll be It'll be huge.”
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Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Andrew Lee
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- prediction
- Recorded
- 15 May 2026
- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution
Transcript context
…Supply chain risks are everywhere if you take that approach. Exactly. But more recently, GPT-55 has gotten really good. I think it's a huge step up for our use case over 5.4. By the time this podcast comes out, we'll probably have announced this publicly. So just, hey, it's going to be there very soon. And it can navigate our harness super well. I think it gives Opus 4.6 a run for its money for most use cases. I think that's really exciting. I'm pretty optimistic about the OpenAI roadmap this year. I think they made a huge bet on compute last year, and I think that's starting to show, and I think where they're going to have a lead for a while. It also is clear that they've refocused their business much more on these types of use cases. You saw the progress Codex made over six months, and if they put that level of effort into tuning the models around these types of agenda use cases, I think that'll be It'll be huge. So we signed a deal with OpenAI the other day, and we'll be launching stuff there, and we're making a pretty big bet there as well. There's progress in other places, though. The latest Google models are pretty solid. They're not at the level of anthropic OpenAI yet, in my opinion, but they are making very fast progress, and they're much closer. And then we've been playing with Deepseek and with Kimi. And the, like the latest Kimmy is, you know, as far as we can tell, like maybe better than a haiku and cheaper. So I think we're going to see those probably make it, make it, make their way into, into task up soon. So I would expect, you know, within the next few months, we are going to have, you know, anthropic models, OpenAI models, open source models, Google models. I'll bet you the anthropic ones will still be the, you know, the best and probably the recommended most cases. But people have a variety of choices and like some good cost cost optimization options for certain things. So many follow-ups there. Let's maybe start with your, what I imagine has been a little bit of a delicate dance with Anthropic, and then we can kind of compare and contrast that with what OpenAI is now bringing to the table. I don't know, you probably know what the ratio is of API cost to effective token cost when you buy a Claude Max subscription and max it out. And obviously in the intervening time since we spoke last, there's been the whole open claw phenomenon and that's had its own bunch of drama with you can, you can't, you sort of can. We got to pay the API price. We're lowering our limits. We're buying compute from xAI. We're raising our limits back again. What has it been like from your perspective to be building on a platform that you're also sort of competing with that is kind of undercutting you to various levels at different times on their pricing.…
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