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Jeff Holmes: commitment

23 Dec 2025 Conversations with Tyler Conversations with Tyler 2025 Retrospective

“Now, I will say that ChatGPT immediately put the disclaimer on that it “can’t write as Tyler Cowen, but it will provide a crisp, economist-eye answer with a similar vibe.”

— Jeff Holmes

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Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Jeff Holmes
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
commitment
Recorded
23 Dec 2025
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

Transcript context

…There can be a lag. It needed to have read the internet this morning. It depends when you asked it. If it’s read the internet this morning, it ought to give the same answer as I did. We just asked ChatGPT to answer as you. Now, I will say that ChatGPT immediately put the disclaimer on that it “can’t write as Tyler Cowen, but it will provide a crisp, economist-eye answer with a similar vibe. ” What will make the US change course on tariffs? It provides 10 reasons. One, inflation that voters can trace to tariffs. Two, administrative bottlenecks become the story. In other words, problems at the ports, compliance costs. Three, a grand bargain tied to security. Four, recession plus employment insurance politics. Five, corporate America unifies, especially outside of big tech. Six, agriculture feels boxed out. Seven, a carbon deal reframes the border. Eight, Mexico, Vietnam, India bargains. Nine, legal or budget constraints bite. Ten, symbolic win the White House can sell. Okay, it didn’t pick up the Supreme Court at all. It’s being too thorough.…

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