Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedPhilip E. Tetlock: belief
22 Apr 2020 Conversations with Tyler Philip E. Tetlock on Forecasting and Foraging as a Fox
“I think everything we know, from the overlap between superforecasting and intelligence and the overlap between intelligence and success in many different professional lines of work, would suggests that that’s almost certainly true.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Philip E. Tetlock
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 22 Apr 2020
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
Transcript context
…Superforecasting as a technique for predicting the future — does it also apply to predicting how successful people will be? Yes. I think everything we know, from the overlap between superforecasting and intelligence and the overlap between intelligence and success in many different professional lines of work, would suggests that that’s almost certainly true. Who first superforecasted your own major success?…
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