Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedKunal Shah: belief
24 Mar 2024 Lenny's Podcast Kunal Shah on winning in India, second-order thinking, the philosophy of startups, and more
“I think the simplest way to think about this is being able to correctly judge the butterfly effect of an event as close as possible.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Kunal Shah
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 24 Mar 2024
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
Transcript context
…And just so people understand, when you're talking about second order thinking, what's the simplest way to describe that concept? I think the simplest way to think about this is being able to correctly judge the butterfly effect of an event as close as possible. For example, a lot of people in the stock market use that to say how stocks will go up and down. There's something that has happened in the market. “Oh, there is a war now with Russia, then what happens to the market?” Can you be good at predicting that? But in everything in life, if this happens, a lot of people hate this because it's very taxing to the brain. The brain absolutely hates second order thinking unless you've trained your brain with second order thinking all the time that it looks forward to it. So you convert this into a hate versus a reward cycle, and that comes with probably doing it early on in your life. Later on, people hate doing second order thinking. It is.…
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