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Published · transcript-backed

Andrej Karpathy: prediction

17 Oct 2025 Dwarkesh Podcast Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away

“We expect more and more autonomous entities over time that are doing a lot of the digital work and then eventually even the physical work some amount of time later.”

— Andrej Karpathy

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Speaker
Andrej Karpathy
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
prediction
Recorded
17 Oct 2025
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

Transcript context

…How do you think about superintelligence? Do you expect it to feel qualitatively different from normal humans or human companies? I see it as a progression of automation in society. Extrapolating the trend of computing, there will be a gradual automation of a lot of things, and superintelligence will an extrapolation of that. We expect more and more autonomous entities over time that are doing a lot of the digital work and then eventually even the physical work some amount of time later. Basically I see it as just automation, roughly speaking. But automation includes the things humans can already do, and superintelligence implies things humans can’t do.…

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