Evidence receipt / uncertainty
Published · transcript-backedIlya Sutskever: uncertainty
27 Mar 2023 Dwarkesh Podcast Ilya Sutskever (OpenAI Chief Scientist) — Why next-token prediction could surpass human intelligence
“I want to make the biggest possible bet on deep learning. I don't know how, but it will figure it out.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Ilya Sutskever
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- uncertainty
- Recorded
- 27 Mar 2023
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
Transcript context
…The capabilities we have today, in what ways have they surpassed where we expected them to be in 2015? And in what ways are they still not where you'd expected them to be by this point? In fairness, it's sort of what I expected in 2015. In 2015, my thinking was a lot more — I just don't want to bet against deep learning. I want to make the biggest possible bet on deep learning. I don't know how, but it will figure it out. But is there any specific way in which it's been more than you expected or less than you expected? Like some concrete prediction out of 2015 that's been bounced?…
Stored transcript either side of the excerpt. The highlighted words are the published quote; the surrounding text is unedited source, never generated.