Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedPhilip E. Tetlock: belief
22 Apr 2020 Conversations with Tyler Philip E. Tetlock on Forecasting and Foraging as a Fox
“I’ve always resonated a little more to the foxes than to the hedgehogs, but I think when you look at the great achievements in science, they often come from hedgehogs.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Philip E. Tetlock
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 22 Apr 2020
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
Transcript context
…Doesn’t that make you more of a fox though? You know something about many different areas. I could ask you about antebellum American discourse before the Civil War, and you would know who had the smart arguments and who didn’t. Right? Well, I would know who has arguments to take the more integratively complex forms — on the one hand, on the other hand, and then synthesis. Whether they want to consider those arguments smarter or not is another matter. But yes, I suppose that’s fair. I’ve always resonated a little more to the foxes than to the hedgehogs, but I think when you look at the great achievements in science, they often come from hedgehogs. If you look today at the ongoing debates about coronavirus and what will happen — and I mean now the debates amongst the smart people, the people you respect — what is the mistake you see them making, the biggest mistake?…
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