Evidence receipt / prediction
Published · transcript-backedPaul Bloom: prediction
7 Aug 2024 Conversations with Tyler Paul Bloom on the Psychology of Children, and the Morality of Empathy and Disgust
“LLMs will succeed on them because they’ve seen thousands and thousands of instances on them.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Paul Bloom
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- prediction
- Recorded
- 7 Aug 2024
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
Transcript context
…Here’s a simple question. What’s the best test of whether someone or something has a theory of mind? I think sustained conversation. There are technical tests, like the false-belief task or Reading of the Mind in the Eyes task, but those are easily gamed. LLMs will succeed on them because they’ve seen thousands and thousands of instances on them. I think in conversation, a lack of theory of mind quickly reveals itself. Success of solving a Turing test is success of theory of mind. Claude 3 can converse very well, but I’m pretty sure it doesn’t have a theory of mind, or do you think it does?…
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