Evidence receipt / uncertainty
Published · transcript-backedPhilip E. Tetlock: uncertainty
22 Apr 2020 Conversations with Tyler Philip E. Tetlock on Forecasting and Foraging as a Fox
“I don’t know what my first major success was. Some people might challenge that there has been a major success in my career.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Philip E. Tetlock
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- uncertainty
- Recorded
- 22 Apr 2020
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
Transcript context
…Who first superforecasted your own major success? I don’t know what my first major success was. Some people might challenge that there has been a major success in my career. Who first saw it coming?…
Stored transcript either side of the excerpt. The highlighted words are the published quote; the surrounding text is unedited source, never generated.