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Published · transcript-backed

Nathan Lambert: belief

1 Feb 2026 Lex Fridman Podcast #490 – State of AI in 2026: LLMs, Coding, Scaling Laws, China, Agents, GPUs, AGI

“I would say less than that on the software side, but I think longer than that on things like research.”

— Nathan Lambert

Source trail

Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Nathan Lambert
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
belief
Recorded
1 Feb 2026
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast

Transcript context

…So you think your prediction would be, if this is even a useful milestone, more than 10 years out? I would say less than that on the software side, but I think longer than that on things like research. Well, let’s just for fun try to imagine a world where all software writing is fully automated. Can you imagine that world?…

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