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Scott Alexander: uncertainty

3 Apr 2025 Dwarkesh Podcast AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

“Everyone is still talking about Applied Divinity Studies, who hasn’t written, unless I missed something, hasn’t written much in a couple of years. I don’t know.”

— Scott Alexander

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Speaker
Scott Alexander
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
uncertainty
Recorded
3 Apr 2025
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

Transcript context

…Okay. And how often after you discover them, does the rest of the world discover them? I don’t think there are many hidden gems. Once a year is a crazy answer in some sense, like it ought to be more. There are so many thousands of people on Substack. But I do just think it’s true that the good blogging space is undersupplied and there is a strong power law. And partly this is subjective, I only like certain bloggers, there are many people who I’m sure are great that I don’t like. But it also seems like our community in the sense of people who are thinking about the same ideas, people who care about AI economics, those kinds of things, discovers one new great blogger a year, something like that. Everyone is still talking about Applied Divinity Studies, who hasn’t written, unless I missed something, hasn’t written much in a couple of years. I don’t know. It seems undersupplied. I don’t have a great explanation. If you had to give an explanation, what would it be?…

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