High Signal Podcasts Evidence ledger
Method
Browse
← Back to evidence

Evidence receipt / uncertainty

Published · transcript-backed

Steven Pinker: uncertainty

24 Sept 2025 Conversations with Tyler Steven Pinker on Coordination, Common Knowledge, and the Retreat of Liberal Enlightenment

“I don’t know if you could talk about the prior probability of a preference, but when it comes to just the brute force gut feeling, look, I just don’t like chocolate, that would be a case where it isn’t irrational to not share those priors.”

— Steven Pinker

Source trail

Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Steven Pinker
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
uncertainty
Recorded
24 Sept 2025
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

Transcript context

…You ought to. That’s right. Yes. I ought to. If I had the same constitutional makeup as you, then perhaps. This is a case where the epistemic peers don’t share priors. I don’t know if you could talk about the prior probability of a preference, but when it comes to just the brute force gut feeling, look, I just don’t like chocolate, that would be a case where it isn’t irrational to not share those priors. That’s the way I’m wired, and I just don’t like it. I don’t like most ballet, but I admit I ought to. I just don’t have the time to learn enough to appreciate it. Take Alfred Hitchcock. I would say North by Northwest, while a fine film, is really considerably below Rear Window and Vertigo. Will you agree with me on that?…

Stored transcript either side of the excerpt. The highlighted words are the published quote; the surrounding text is unedited source, never generated.

Search evidence