Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedSpeaker unverified: belief
17 Mar 2026 Cheeky Pint Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara
“I don't think we've seen that necessarily yet, but I feel like if I were to say, there was a, for example, the Texas primary, and I think that the polls were saying one person was really going to win, another person that was way higher in prediction markets won.”
— Speaker unverified
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Speaker unverified
- Attribution
- Not verified from this transcript
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 17 Mar 2026
- Publisher
- Cheeky Pint
Transcript context
…Ok, so you think the party machines have lost a little bit of power? I think you can shine more light into what people really want, which might not be necessarily what the parties want to put forward. I don't think we've seen that necessarily yet, but I feel like if I were to say, there was a, for example, the Texas primary, and I think that the polls were saying one person was really going to win, another person that was way higher in prediction markets won. I think a lot of it was more of like, they give a more, a fairer view of the state of the race than a lot of the party polls. I think that we do see this a lot with also... There's sort of the piece where people use it and that's sort of reacting in real time to certain things. But I think there's some degree of depolarization, and that's what Luana's alluding to. And in some ways, it's an antidote to social media. Social media has really polarized. When you have two candidates running for a Senate race, we're sort of set. Your feed is set. Either your feed is saying the Republican candidate is awesome, or the feed is saying the Democrat candidate is awesome. Prediction markets don't really have that. Because the people that are engaging in this are not in the sort of like who's great and who's, you know—…
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