Evidence receipt / prediction
Published · transcript-backedSatya Nadella: prediction
19 Feb 2025 Dwarkesh Podcast Satya Nadella — Microsoft’s AGI plan & quantum breakthrough
“Ultimately, not as tech for tech's sake, but solving some of the fundamental things that we, as humans, want in our life, and more, we want them in our economy, driving our productivity. And so if we can somehow get that right, then I think we will have really made progress.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Satya Nadella
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- prediction
- Recorded
- 19 Feb 2025
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
Transcript context
…Yeah, and that's what I meant, just in the sense of like, you can have one unified experience across many different kinds of games. How does this fit into the other, separate from AI, the other things that Microsoft has worked on in the past, like mixed reality? Maybe giving smaller game studios a chance to build these AAA action games? Just like five, ten years from now, what kinds of ways could you imagine? I've thought about these three things as the cornerstones of, in an interesting way, even five, six, seven years ago is when I said the three big bets that we want to place [are] AI, quantum, and mixed reality. And I still believe in them, because in some sense, what are the big problems to be solved? Presence. That's the dream of mixed reality. Can you create real presence? Like you and I doing a podcast like this. I think it’s still proving to be the harder one of those challenges, quite honestly. I thought it was going to be more solvable. It's tougher, perhaps, just because of the social side of it: wearing things and so on. We're excited about, in fact, what we're going to do with Anduril and Palmer, now, with even how they'll take forward the IVAS program, because that's a fantastic use case. And so we'll continue on that front. But also, the 2D surfaces. It turns out things like Teams, right, thanks to the pandemic, we've really gotten the ability to create essentially presence through even 2D. And that I think will continue. That's one secular piece. Quantum we talked about, and AI is the other one. So these are the three things that I look at and say, how do you bring these things together? Ultimately, not as tech for tech's sake, but solving some of the fundamental things that we, as humans, want in our life, and more, we want them in our economy, driving our productivity. And so if we can somehow get that right, then I think we will have really made progress. When you write your next book, you've got to have some explanation of why those three pieces all came together around the same time, right? Like, there's no intrinsic reason you would think quantum and AI should happen in 2028 and 2025 and so forth.…
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