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Scott Alexander: uncertainty

3 Apr 2025 Dwarkesh Podcast AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

“Now I could never handle that schedule, I don’t know, I was in my 20s, I must have been briefly superhuman.”

— Scott Alexander

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Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Scott Alexander
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
uncertainty
Recorded
3 Apr 2025
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

Transcript context

…What advice do you have to somebody who wants to become good at it but isn’t currently good at it? Do it every day, same advice as for everything else. I say that I very rarely see new bloggers who are great. But like when I see some. I published every day for the first couple years of Slate Star Codex, maybe only the first year. Now I could never handle that schedule, I don’t know, I was in my 20s, I must have been briefly superhuman. But whenever I see a new person who blogs every day it’s very rare that that never goes anywhere or they don’t get good. That’s like my best leading indicator for who’s going to be a good blogger. And do you have advice on what kinds of things to start? One frustration you can have is you want to do it, but you have so little to say, you don’t have that deep a world model, a lot of the ideas you have are just really shallow or wrong. Just do it anyway?…

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