Dwarkesh Patel: prediction

Transcript context

…richness of that tradition to this discussion. It's easy if you're purely in this abstract mode of utility functions and human utility functions. There's this competitor thing with a utility function. Somehow you lose touch with the complexity of how we've been dealing with differences in values and competitions for power. This is classic stuff. AI sort of amplifies a lot of the dynamics, but I don't think it's fundamentally new. Part of what I'm trying to say is let's draw on the full wisdom we have here, while obviously adjusting for ways in which things are different. There’s one thing the ember analogy brings up about getting a hold of the future is. We're going to go explore space and that's where we expect most of the things that will happen. Most of the people that will live, they’ll be in space. I wonder how much of the high stakes here is not really about AI per se, but it's about space. It's a coincidence that we're developing AI at the same time we are on the cusp of expanding through most of the stuff that exists. I don't think it's a coincidence. The most salient way we would become able to expand is via some kind of radical acceleration of our technological progress.…

Stored transcript either side of the excerpt. The highlighted words are the published quote; the surrounding text is unedited source, never generated.