Nat Friedman: prediction

Transcript context

…Do we have enough data in the form of scrolls that have been mapped out to be able to train a model if that's the best way to go? Because one question somebody might have is – Listen, if you already have this ground truth, why hasn't Dr. Seales’ team already been able to just train it? I think they will. I think if we just let them do it, they'll get it solved. It might take a little bit longer because it's not a huge number of people. There is a big space here. But I mean, yeah, if we didn't launch this contest, I'd still think this would get solved. But it might take several years. And I think this way, it's likely to happen this year. Let's say the prize is solved. Somebody figures out how to do this and we can read the first scroll. You mentioned that these other layers haven't been excavated. How is the world going to react? Let's say we get about one of these mapped.…

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