Ben Todd: recommendation

Transcript context

…Gotcha. But let's change gears to policy. This is another, I think, very black box sort of thing to many people, right? If you're not inclined to do ******** technical work or research, and especially if you have a higher P doom, then you're like, how can I get into the policy arena? I'd be interested to hear your thoughts on, first of all, like, what policies do you think are actually robustly good and worth advocating for? And then How should we think about how we can position ourselves to actually move the needle on the likelihood that those things do in fact come to pass? Yeah, we touched on a strategic pause earlier, but unlike I agree with the current administration and just the vibe that's very unlikely to happen in the short term. But we need to think out a couple of years in the future when people will be like freaking out even more. We might be on the cusp of a obvious feedback loop. It might be a new administration. That could be a pretty different scenario. And I think at least a strategic pause could be something that a lot of people would sign up to. They'll just see that it's better for everyone. And the common response is like, well, what about China? But like you would say to the Chinese would obviously have to be part of the deal. And you would say, well, we're going to pause if you pause. That's the deal. And they actually have more incentives to take that deal than us because they're behind. So like pausing is better for them. And they also care about the risks a bunch as well. Like they've had high level talks about AI risk among the like very top leadership of the party. So I do think like kind of laying the groundwork for that. And one thing in particular is you can't really do that unless you have some way of enforcing it, which means you need at least some minimum level of tracking the computes and knowing where major AI training is taking place. And if that's not set up in advance, you just can't actually really do it. So I think things around compute tracking are really useful. This almost sounds too simple, but like getting the capacity to have some type of off switch, because like right now we couldn't actually, there's not an easy way to actually just turn off a lot of computes quickly if there was like an autonomous AI replicating in a bunch of data centers. And that seems like kind of relatively low bar thing you might want to have prepared. And then there's like a bunch of just maybe more boring sounding things, but I do think more transparency is good, like making sure the government can actually track what the capabilities are over time. And right now, it would be possible for a company to start an intelligence explosion and keep it secret potentially for what, like a couple of months at least, which could be important. So measures to really make sure we would know if that was happening seem really good. There's a bunch of other ideas. Like I do think the idea of having red lines and emergency response plans is also seems like pretty hard to object to. So like dangerous behavior where that would trigger further investigation or certain responses by the companies and having that like widely agreed upon across the industry. but this is more on the alignment stuff. Obviously, there's a whole set of other things for pandemic prevention and avoiding concentration of power and a bunch of other risks. But yeah, in general, I just feel like there's a lot that could be done. ly, there's a whole set of other things for pandemic prevention and avoiding concentration of power and a bunch of other risks. But yeah, in general, I just feel like there's a lot that could be done. Even if it can't be passed to the next administration, like in the current administration, you can be, there's a lot of groundwork that can be laid to make it much easier to implement these things in the future.…

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