Evidence receipt / uncertainty
Published · transcript-backedEliezer Yudkowsky: uncertainty
6 Apr 2023 Dwarkesh Podcast Eliezer Yudkowsky — Why AI will kill us, aligning LLMs, nature of intelligence, SciFi, & rationality
“I guess because I could be wrong and because matters are now serious enough that I have nothing left to do but go out there and tell people how it looks and maybe someone thinks of something I did not think of.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Eliezer Yudkowsky
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- uncertainty
- Recorded
- 6 Apr 2023
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
Transcript context
…Because they both amount to doing nothing in that, in both cases, you end up on a podcast saying, we’re bound to succeed or we’re bound to fail. What is a concrete strategy by which, like, assume the real odds are like 99% we fail or something. What is the reason to blurt those odds out there and announce the death with dignity strategy or emphasize them? I guess because I could be wrong and because matters are now serious enough that I have nothing left to do but go out there and tell people how it looks and maybe someone thinks of something I did not think of. I think this would be a good point to just kind of get your predictions of what’s likely to happen in 2030, 2040 or 2050, something like that. By 2025, what are the odds that AI kills or disempowers all of humanity. Do you have some sense of that?…
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