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Published · transcript-backed

Nathan Lambert: uncertainty

1 Feb 2026 Lex Fridman Podcast #490 – State of AI in 2026: LLMs, Coding, Scaling Laws, China, Agents, GPUs, AGI

“I guess I don’t know— how bad production codebases are, but I think that within… on the order of a few years, a lot of people are going to be pushed to be more like a designer and product manager, where you have multiple of these agents that can try things for you, and they might take one to two days to implement a feature or attempt to fix a bug.”

— Nathan Lambert

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Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Nathan Lambert
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
uncertainty
Recorded
1 Feb 2026
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast

Transcript context

…See, I don’t know. I don’t know. I guess I don’t know— how bad production codebases are, but I think that within… on the order of a few years, a lot of people are going to be pushed to be more like a designer and product manager, where you have multiple of these agents that can try things for you, and they might take one to two days to implement a feature or attempt to fix a bug. And you have these dashboards—which I think Slack is actually a good dashboard—where your agents will talk to you and you’ll then give feedback. But things like, I make a website and it’s like, “Do you want to make a logo that’s passable?” I think these cohesive design things and the style is going to be very hard for models and deciding on what to add next. I just… Okay. So I hang out with a lot of programmers and some of them are a little bit on the skeptical side in general—that’s just the vibe. I just think there’s a lot of complexity involved in adding features to complex systems. Like, if you look at the browser, Chrome. If I wanted to add a feature, if I wanted to have tabs as opposed to up top, I want them on the left side. Interface, right? I think we’re not… This is not a next year thing.…

Stored transcript either side of the excerpt. The highlighted words are the published quote; the surrounding text is unedited source, never generated.

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