Trenton Bricken: belief

Transcript context

…I mean, aren't all fields kind of like that? This is sort of the scientific framing of discovery versus invention, right? Discovery almost involves whenever there's been a massive scientific breakthrough in the past. Typically there are multiple people co-discovering a thing at roughly the same time. That feels to me, at least a little bit, like the mixing and trying of ideas. You can't try an idea that's so far out of scope that you have no way of verifying with the tools you have available. I think physics and math might be slightly different in this regard. But especially for biology or any sort of wetware, to the extent we want to analogize neural networks here, it's just comical how serendipitous a lot of the discoveries are. Penicillin, for example. Another implication of this is the idea that AGI is just going to come tomorrow. Somebody's just going to discover a new algorithm and we have AGI. That seems less plausible. It will just be a matter of more and more and more researchers finding these marginal things that all add up together to make models better.…

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