Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedZach Carter: belief
2 Dec 2020 Conversations with Tyler Zach Carter on the Life and Legacy of John Maynard Keynes
“The answer that I put in my book — that I think is basically right — is that most of these gains are captured by people at the top.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Zach Carter
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 2 Dec 2020
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
Transcript context
…In a famous essay, as you know, “Economic Possibilities for Our Grandchildren” — I think it’s 1930 — Keynes predicted we — I’m not sure who the “we” is here — would be working 15 hours a week. What did he get wrong? Or was he just off by a few decades? Well, Benjamin Friedman, I think, did the analysis most recently. Bob Solow did one 2007–2008. If you take living standard to be something like GDP per capita, then the actual productive output of society was pretty close to what Keynes is talking about in “Economic Possibilities for Our Grandchildren,” but the distribution of that output is not egalitarian. The answer that I put in my book — that I think is basically right — is that most of these gains are captured by people at the top. As a result, we have people working all the time. But median family income in the US is now still past the range where Keynes would have predicted 15 hours of work a week, right? Uneven distribution, but median wage in Keynes’s time was pitifully low. And now, it’s still pretty high.…
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