Jeffrey Ladish: prediction

Transcript context

…be hacked. Like like because hackers would find vulnerabilities in all the software we use and then we'd be compromised. So it's really this like automatic updating feature that allows us to be safe. And so it's a bit of a cat and mouse game and, you know, state actors who are like trying to, you know, hack really sensitive systems that will have automatic updates enabled and like will be patched, have to find vulnerabilities that no one knows about. 0 day vulnerabilities. like trying to, you know, hack really sensitive systems that will have automatic updates enabled and like will be patched, have to find vulnerabilities that no one knows about. 0 day vulnerabilities. But these are very difficult to find and they can be very expensive to pay someone to find. And so they're very selective in how they use them. So it's like if the CCP wanted to hack you, they could, but they might have to spend $100,000 on it. And they, they can only spend so many hundreds of thousands of dollars to hack so many people. And so they're going to be very selective about their targets. And, and you know, but now this is going to be much cheaper, at least for people who have access to Mythos, because Mythos is very good at finding these types of vulnerabilities and can do it somewhat autonomously. And so now you can potentially find a lot more. So yeah, the the whole offense defence landscape is going to shift in ways that are hard to predict because this thing that previously required extremely scarce human labour and was very expensive has now been somewhat automated and can be scaled up and now is much cheaper to do. Also, those vulnerabilities will be patched if, like, you know, companies are using it, those to like patch their own software. Will they find all of the vulnerabilities? Like probably not. Like how does this scale exactly? It's unclear exactly what the future will be like. But the thing I can say is that increasingly it will be like how secure you you are, you know, both in terms of your software, your infrastructure and everything will be how good are your models and how much compute do you have? And what that means is that like a is will be far better at both offense and defence than the humans. And, like, humans are just going to be increasingly reliant on AI models to be secure. And this is like, fine in the short term, but in the long term or the medium term, I'm like, oh, this is a very bad situation because we could, like, very easily Battlestar Galactica ourselves. I don't know if you've seen the show. This is spoilers for the very first episode, but the very first episode is like, you know, you have this advanced spacefaring civilization. They have lots of like space battleships and autonomous, you know, robots to fight wars and stuff. And basically one day the AI is hacked everything and then nuke the humans and like almost exterminate the humans all at once except for like the one ship that like the old fashioned curmudgeonly general like refused to have networked with the rest of the fleet. And so it's like the museum ship is the one that survives. That's Battlestar Galactica. And he like runs away from robot armies that are trying to chase him. And it's like, ha, ha, funny, silly sci-fi premise. Oh, wait, we are getting to the point where AI agents are better at hacking than humans and we're going to be increasingly reliant on them. And like, you know, are we going to make robot armies probably like in the next few years? Like probably like, I don't know, like look at drone warfare in Ukraine. Like it's, it's extremely effective. And like, you know, are we going to make robot armies probably like in the next few years? Like probably like, I don't know, like look at drone warfare in Ukraine. Like it's, it's extremely effective. And we're like longer and longer range drones, more and more autonomous drones, huge incentives for automation there. Look at humanoid robotics. How well is that going? Pretty freaking well. Like I just watched a unitary video a couple of days ago where the unitary human robot can rollerblade. Now I'm like, Nathan, that was my thing. You know I'm not going to keep my job.…

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